Friday, December 30, 2011

1490.txt

date: Fri Jan 31 09:45:01 2003
from: Mike Hulme <m.hulmeatXYZxyz.ac.uk>
subject: Fwd: Re: Scenario data
to: j.turnpenny

John,
Here are the data for the plot. The format seems quite simple and I think he has even
calculated a rate of change.
Can you show me what you have before the end of today, because it has to be finished on
Monday for my talk on Tuesday.
I will need it eventually as a gif or jpeg for my powerpoiint, but hard copy at the draft
stage please.
Thanks,
Mike

Sender: andreyatXYZxyz-potsdam.de
Date: Thu, 30 Jan 2003 16:02:03 +0100
From: "Dr. A. Ganopolski" <andreyatXYZxyz-potsdam.de>
Organization: pik
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.7 [en] (X11; I; AIX 4.3)
X-Accept-Language: en
To: Mike Hulme <m.hulmeatXYZxyz.ac.uk>
Subject: Re: Scenario data
Dear Mike,
At last I have the data which I promised you. They are in ascii format in
attached file. If you have problem to use them, I also can prepare a graph.
In this case please let me know in which format you would like to have the
figure (postscript, tiff, etc.). The data are the result of simulations with
the current version of CLIMBER-2, which evolved considerably compared to the
version which was used in Rahmstorf and Ganopolski, 1999. Results,
nevertheless, are very similar. The cooling starts almost at the same time,
and amplitude is almost the same. The only difference is that with the old
model version we have one strong kink immediately after beginning of cooling,
and in new one there are several smaller kinks, thus the averaged cooling
trend over 22th century is smoother. The reason is that in the old version
latitudinal resolution of the ocean was 10 deg, while in the new one the
resolution of the ocean is four times high (2.5 deg).
The file (trate.dat) contains winter temperature changes (compared to
equilibrium preindustrial values) and the rate of winter temperature changes
over the Atlantic sector from 50N to 60 N (i.e. the same as in RG, 1999).
The data is organized as following:
first column: year
second column: temperature anomaly in the standard experiment (exp. 0 in RG,
1999)
third column: temperature anomaly in the experiment with enhanced
hydrological sensitivity (exp. 0.2 in RG, 1999)
forth column: the rate of temperature changes (deg per decade) in the stands
art experiment
fifth column: the rate of temperature changes (deg per decade) in the
experiment with enhanced hydrological sensitivity
Because time derivative of the temperature is rather noisy, the rate of
temperature changes was smoothed using 10-years moving window.
With best wishes,
Andrey.
> Dear Andrey,
>
> Thank you for looking out for these data.
>
> If you can readily re-run the model I would much appreciate that. The
> immediate purpose for the data is the paper I have prepared for the Royal
> Society meeting on 4-5 Feb. at which you also are speaking.
>
> Although I plan to submit my paper today, if you can forward me the
> relevant data then I at least can prepare the diagram I need for the
> meeting itself, and then also in the final published version of the paper.
>
> So any data received up until Friday 31 January would in fact be helpful,
> or even if later than that at least for the final version of the paper.
>
> Many thanks,
>
> Mike
>
> At 17:23 23/01/03 +0100, you wrote:
> >Dear Prof Hulme,
> >
> >Stefan Rahmstorf forwarded me your email with the request of our
> >scenario data, published in CC, 1998. Unfortunately I failed to find a
> >row data from theses experiments. Probably I've deleted them a while
> >ago, since we have, although large, but still limited disk space. The
> >same happened with the model version and experimental set-up used for
> >this publication. Although it is not a big problem to repeat these
> >experiments with the new version of our model, I am afraid I will be
> >able to do that not early then next week, and as I understand from your
> >letter, you need these results not later than tomorrow. Nevertheless,
> >if you are still interesting to get these results later, I will be happy
> >to provide you with them as soon as possible.
> >
> >Best regards,
> >
> >Andrey Ganopolski.
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2012 .9868 .6529 .2010 .1393
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2015 1.0457 .6794 .2048 .1466
2016 1.0682 .6920 .2062 .1497
2017 1.0906 .7029 .2075 .1530
2018 1.1119 .7169 .2083 .1561
2019 1.1331 .7420 .2088 .1591
2020 1.1542 .7556 .2089 .1621
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