date: Fri, 3 May 2002 18:31:29 +0100
from: "Simon Torok" <S.TorokatXYZxyz.ac.uk>
subject: In Tyndall 37
In Tyndall 37: The fortnightly Tyndall Centre internal newsletter
This newsletter is intended for internal use only. Please check with the
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1. New climate scenarios for the UK
The UK Climate Impacts Programme (UKCIP) 2002 climate change scenarios have
now been launched. They are based on new GCM results from the Hadley Centre,
and were prepared by Tyndall researchers under contract to DEFRA for UKCIP
(http://www.ukcip.org.uk/climate_scen/climate_scen.html). They provide the
latest information on how climate may change in the 21st century, for policy
makers, those researching climate change impacts and adaptation, for
businesses and organisations, and the general public. The scenarios
represent a major step forward in understanding how climate may change
across the UK over the coming century, and will be the definitive 'state of
the art' for several years to come.
2. Third issue of Tynd-All now available
Tynd-All is the quarterly summary of past Tyndall events, news and
announcements of coming activities and opportunities. It is aimed at
external stakeholders and is being sent quarterly by email to about 300
people who have registered for it at the Tyndall Website. The latest issue
is now archived at http://www.tyndall.ac.uk/tynd-all/archive.shtml and you
are encouraged to inform any external contacts of its availability and
suggest they sign up for it by filling in the online form at
http://www.tyndall.ac.uk/tynd-all_form.shtml (or follow the link from the
front page of the Tyndall Website).
3. Tyndall North scoping study for SDC
The Sustainable Development Commission (SDC) is undertaking a scoping study
entitled 'Area-based Carbon Emissions Reduction'. Tyndall North, in
association with De Montfort and Manchester Universities, was appointed to
assist the SDC in its appraisal of existing initiatives and to advise on the
future work, focusing on local to regional projects, programmes and policies
that assist in the eventual delivery of large reductions of carbon
emissions. Simon Shackley and others gathered information about
decarbonisation work, including carbon emission reduction initiatives
undertaken by companies, local authorities, NGOs, universities, and other
individual organisations. The Tyndall Centre has now finalised the report to
the Commission, entitled 'Low Carbon Spaces', which will soon be publicly
available. A database of UK carbon reduction activities has also been
prepared and will be launched as a public resource in due course.
4. Science for Sustainability event at UEA
The Tyndall Centre is supporting a two-day high-level event to be held at
the University of East Anglia on 2-3 July 2002 that will provide an
opportunity to debate the contribution of international science towards the
objectives to be laid out at the World Summit on Sustainable Development in
Johannesburg in late August. The event is organised by the School of
Environmental Sciences at UEA, the Royal Society, the UNEP-World
Conservation Monitoring Centre and the UK DTI. Keynote speakers include the
government's chief scientist Professor David King, Christian Patermann from
the European Commission, and John Schellnhuber. The conclusions of the
meeting will be submitted to the WSSD.
5. Publications by Tyndall Centre researchers
Tyndall researchers are highlighted in bold. Publications marked * arise
from research funded largely by the Tyndall Centre. A full publications list
is at http://www.tyndall.ac.uk/publications/publications.shtml
* Adger, W.N., Huq, S., Brown, K., Conway, D. and Hulme, M. (2002).
Adaptation to climate change: Setting the Agenda for Development Policy and
Research. Tyndall Centre Working Paper 16.
Berkhout, F. (2002) Technological regimes, path dependency and the
environment. Global Environmental Change, 12, 1-4
* Hulme, M., Turnpenny, J. R. and Jenkins, G. (2002). Climate Change
Scenarios for the United Kingdom: The UKCIP02 Briefing Report. Tyndall
Centre for Climate Change Research, 15pp.
* Hulme, M., Jenkins, G. Lu, X., Turnpenny, J. R., Mitchell, T. D., Jones,
R. G., Lowe, J., Murphy, J. M., Hassell, D., Boorman, P., McDonald, R. and
Hill, S. (2002). Climate Change Scenarios for the United Kingdom: The
UKCIP02 Scientific Report. Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research,
* Hulme, M. (2002). The changing climate of the UK: now and in the future.
Pp.9-26 In: Climate change: impacts on UK forests Broadmeadow, M. (ed),
Forestry Bulletin No. 125, Institute of Chartered Foresters/Forestry
Commission, Edinburgh, 198pp.
* K�hler, J.H. (2002). Long run technical change in an
energy-environment-economy (E3) model for an IA system: A model of
Kondratiev waves. Tyndall Centre Working Paper 15.
Lu, X., Crossley, J. and Hulme, M. (2002) An exploration of regional climate
change scenarios for Scotland. Scottish Geographical Journal, 117, 251-270.
* Shackley, S. and Gough, C. (2002). The Use of Integrated Assessment: An
Institutional Analysis Perspective. Tyndall Centre Working Paper 14.
Turnpenny J.R., Crossley J. F., Hulme M. and Osborn T. J. (2002). Air flow
influences on local climate: comparison of a regional climate model with
observations over the United Kingdom. Climate Research 20: 189-202
6. Tyndall in the news
The UKCIP02 scenario launch generated wide media interest, with Mike Hulme
and John Turnpenny conducting many interviews. The scenarios were reported
by the Financial Times, Guardian, Daily Telegraph, Daily Mail, Times,
Express and regional papers, BBC national and local news, BBC News24, ITV
national and regional news, Radio 4 and regional BBC networks. Meanwhile, a
press release was sent to energy journals and other media to mark the first
month of the Renewables Obligation and highlighting the Briefing Note
analysing the new policy by Jim Watson and Adrian Smith at SPRU, (the full
Briefing Note is available at
Norwich Evening News described the free public workshop at Norwich Cathedral
tomorrow (Saturday) from 9.30am where Andrew Watkinson and Tim O'Riordan
will discuss the science, management and spirituality of the coast. Jean
Palutikof discussed wind decreases in the Arctic with Nature's news service.
And Simon Torok was interviewed by Al-Ahram Weekly in Egypt for a general
article on climate change.
7. Science, impacts and policy workshop
The Tyndall Centre's Rachel Warren and Larissa Naylor (UEA), Terry Barker
(Cambridge) and Melvin Cannell (CEH) were amongst the speakers at the
workshop 'Climate Change: Science, Impacts and Policy Responses' held in
April. The training programme, for government and industry professionals
seeking a more in-depth understanding of the issues surrounding climate
change, was organised by Imperial College's Centre for Energy Policy and
Technology, Oxford University's Environmental Change Institute and the
Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research. International industry,
government and academic representatives were in attendance.
8. Worth a surf
The European Union has delivered on its long-standing commitment to
stabilise emissions of carbon dioxide at their 1990 level by 2000, despite
an emissions upturn in the final year of the period. Total carbon dioxide
emissions from the 15 EU Member States were 0.5% lower in 2000 than 10 years
earlier, the latest emissions inventory from the European Environment Agency
shows. The inventory is available on the EEA's web site at
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